EraNorth Insights

Decision-grade thinking for complex work.

Professional knowledge and strategic perspectives across strategy, projects, operations, engineering, transformation and business performance.

An Expected Value in a Ranking's Clothes

Multiplying probability by impact is an expected-value calculation used as a ranking rule. It is correct only for an enterprise indifferent to variance.

decision rulesexpected valueprioritisationrisk appetiterisk scoringvariance

Portfolio Leadership

Risk-Informed Portfolio Selection: Why the Highest Return Is Not Always the Best Choice

How portfolio leaders can balance expected value, downside exposure, correlated risk, capacity and strategic resilience when selecting investments.

expected valueinvestment selectionportfolio riskresiliencerisk appetite

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