Risk and Resilience
An Expected Value in a Ranking's Clothes
Multiplying probability by impact is an expected-value calculation used as a ranking rule. It is correct only for an enterprise indifferent to variance.
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Professional knowledge and strategic perspectives across strategy, projects, operations, engineering, transformation and business performance.
6 articles found
Portfolio Leadership
What Does \"Critical\" Actually Commit You To?
A priority label is not a statement of importance. It declares which variable the organisation has agreed to let move — and \"critical\" means resources are it.
Portfolio Leadership
Too Many Good Projects Is a Portfolio Failure
Why approving individually attractive projects can destroy portfolio value when capacity, dependencies, opportunity cost and strategic focus are ignored.
Portfolio Leadership
Stop, Defer or Accelerate: How Leaders Should Rebalance a Portfolio
A practical portfolio rebalancing method for deciding which initiatives to stop, defer, redesign or accelerate as evidence and strategy change.
Portfolio Leadership
Is Your Portfolio Function Selecting, or Supervising?
A portfolio function that chooses between investments and one that oversees work already committed are different institutions. Most organisations have built the second.
Leadership and Decision-Making
The Manager's Real Job Is Governing Attention Under Pressure
Why executive effectiveness depends less on controlling activity and more on governing attention, priorities and decisions under relentless pressure.
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