Risk and Resilience
Design for Uncertainty, Not the Average Case
Why the most efficient design for an expected future can become fragile when demand, resources, climate and operating conditions move outside the forecast.
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Strategy and Foresight
The Future Is Not a Return to Normal: Use Scenarios When Structural Change Rewrites the Assumptions
Why leaders should distinguish cyclical disruption from structural change and use scenarios when old forecasts no longer describe the decision environment.
Risk and Resilience
Strategic Flexibility: Match the Management System to Environmental Turbulence
How leaders can vary planning, governance and strategic commitment as the business environment becomes faster, less stable and less predictable.
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