A material expectation does not have to be formally approved to influence whether stakeholders judge a program successful.
Programs rarely fail only against documented requirements. They also fail against expectations that were implied, assumed, politically communicated or allowed to grow without challenge.
A sponsor expects the first tranche to show visible benefits. Operations expects no service interruption. Finance assumes a certain saving will recur. Customers expect the new capability to be easier to use. None of these expectations may appear in a formal requirements baseline, yet each can become a practical acceptance test.
The leadership risk is not that every expectation should become a requirement. It is that material expectations can shape support, behaviour and perceived success whether or not the program has consciously governed them.
The Strategic Context
Baker’s 2012 PMI conference paper makes a deliberately strong claim: from the stakeholder’s perspective, expectations behave like requirements. The paper is project-focused and historical, so its language should not be treated as a current standard. But the underlying observation is strategically useful.
The Week 10 program study material reinforces the dynamic nature of expectations. Program managers are expected to confirm continued commitment, negotiate and communicate expectations, anticipate concerns and resolve issues. Expectations can shift as circumstances, stakeholders and strategy change.
This makes expectation management a governance problem rather than a courtesy. Expectations influence scope, benefits, risk exposure, transition and reputation. Left invisible, they become hidden commitments.
What Leaders Commonly Misread
A common assumption is that the signed business case, charter or requirements set defines the entire psychological contract around the program. It does not.
Stakeholders infer commitments from executive presentations, early prototypes, informal conversations, previous organisational behaviour and what leaders fail to challenge. Repetition makes assumptions feel official.
Another mistake is to treat expectation gaps as a late-stage communication problem. By the time users reject a delivered capability or executives challenge benefit performance, the gap may have been forming for months.
A third mistake is to respond by converting every expectation into scope. That produces uncontrolled expansion. The program becomes a collection of promises rather than a governed investment.
The correct response is neither to ignore expectations nor to accept them automatically. It is to expose, test and decide.
Reframing the Issue
A material expectation should be treated as a claim on the program.
Every claim needs one of four outcomes:
- accept it as part of the authorised outcome;
- clarify it because the expectation is ambiguous;
- negotiate a different outcome or condition;
- decline it explicitly because it is outside the program’s purpose or value case.
Silence is a fifth outcome, but it is usually the most dangerous because different parties continue operating with different definitions of success.
This reframing also distinguishes requirements from expectations. A requirement has entered a formal decision system. An expectation may not have. The program’s job is to decide whether a material expectation deserves that transition.
Hidden Commitments Are Often Created by Behaviour
Baker’s paper highlights a subtle point: what teams repeatedly do can create expectations about what they will continue to do. That matters in programs because temporary work practices can unintentionally become perceived service commitments.
Suppose a digital-transformation program provides extensive manual support during pilot deployment. Users may reasonably assume the same support will exist after rollout. If the operating model depends on self-service, the program has created a transition risk through its own behaviour.
The same can happen with reporting, executive involvement, supplier responsiveness, approval turnaround or customisation.
Leaders should therefore ask not only “What have we promised?” but also “What are people learning to expect from our behaviour?”
Expectations Connect Directly to Benefits
Programs exist to create outcomes and benefits, not merely to deliver components. This makes expectation governance especially important where different stakeholders define value differently.
Finance may focus on recurring cost reduction. Operations may value reliability. Customers may value convenience. Regulators may care about compliance. Executives may expect strategic flexibility.
A program can technically meet scope and still disappoint because the dominant stakeholder expectation concerned a different outcome.
The solution is not to make every value dimension equal. It is to create explicit benefit logic and clarify which outcomes the investment is designed to produce.
Related article: Business Cases Are Investment Hypotheses, Not Permission Slips
Decision Framework
Use an Expectation-to-Commitment Test for material stakeholder expectations.
| Question | Purpose |
|---|---|
| What is the expectation? | Remove ambiguity |
| Who holds it and how influential or impacted are they? | Understand significance |
| What created the expectation? | Find the source of the implied commitment |
| Does it support the authorised benefits and strategy? | Test strategic fit |
| What would satisfying it cost or constrain? | Expose trade-offs |
| Who has authority to accept or reject it? | Establish decision rights |
| How will the decision be recorded and communicated? | Prevent re-emergence |
A useful threshold is materiality. Expectations deserve formal governance when accepting or rejecting them could materially affect benefits, scope, cost, timing, risk, adoption, compliance or stakeholder commitment.
This prevents the governance system from becoming overwhelmed by minor preferences.
From Strategy to Execution
Immediate action: identify the five expectations most likely to create disagreement about program success. Compare them with the business case, benefit profile, roadmap and transition plan. Resolve gaps before the next major decision point.
Medium-term capability: add expectation review to stakeholder engagement and change governance. Record material decisions and the rationale. Ensure executive statements about future outcomes are connected to authorised program assumptions rather than improvised commitments.
Long-term positioning: strengthen the organisation’s ability to negotiate value explicitly. Mature organisations do not avoid difficult expectation conversations. They surface them early, expose trade-offs and make conscious commitments.
This is also a cultural issue. Teams need permission to challenge optimistic assumptions from senior stakeholders without being interpreted as obstructive.
The Risk of Expectation Drift
Expectation drift occurs when the stakeholder’s definition of success changes faster than the formal program definition.
Some drift is legitimate. External conditions change. Strategy changes. New risks emerge. A program may need to adapt.
The governance question is whether the change improves the investment or merely adds pressure.
Watch for stakeholders progressively using stronger language: “we discussed” becomes “we agreed”; “it would be useful” becomes “the program will”; “the pilot includes” becomes “the operating model requires”.
Those language shifts often indicate that an informal expectation is becoming a perceived commitment.
Related article: Benefits Are Not Static: Govern Emergent Value and Dis-Benefits
Signals to Monitor
Look for repeated disputes over what was “understood”, late requests framed as previously agreed, rising numbers of exceptions during transition, benefit measures being reinterpreted after delivery, and different stakeholder groups using different definitions of program success.
Another warning sign is excessive reliance on individual memory. When material agreements live in conversations rather than governed artefacts, stakeholder turnover can reset the narrative.
The program does not need bureaucratic documentation of every interaction. It does need a reliable record of decisions that materially affect the investment.
Questions for the Leadership Team
- Which current stakeholder expectations are not represented in the program’s authorised outcomes or benefit logic?
- What expectations have our own behaviours created unintentionally?
- Where are executives making statements that could be interpreted as new commitments?
- Which expectations should we explicitly reject to protect strategic focus?
- Who has authority to convert a material expectation into a program commitment?
- How will we know when expectations have drifted enough to require a strategic review?
Closing Perspective
The most dangerous program commitments are often the ones nobody remembers approving.
Strong governance does not turn every stakeholder preference into scope. It creates a disciplined path from expectation to decision. That protects both stakeholder trust and the integrity of the investment.
Related article: You Cannot Manage Stakeholders Like Resources
References
- Baker, E. 2012, ‘Planning effective stakeholder management strategies to do the same thing!’, PMI Global Congress 2012—North America.
- University of South Australia, Week 10 Study Notes on Program Stakeholder Engagement, supplied course material based on PMI 2017.
- Krick, T., Forstater, M., Monaghan, P. & Sillanpää, M. 2005, The Stakeholder Engagement Manual, Volume 2: The Practitioner’s Handbook on Stakeholder Engagement, AccountAbility, UNEP and Stakeholder Research Associates.
Recommended Internal Links
[Related article: Business Cases Are Investment Hypotheses, Not Permission Slips][Related article: You Cannot Manage Stakeholders Like Resources][Related article: Benefits Are Not Static: Govern Emergent Value and Dis-Benefits]
About EraNorth Insights
EraNorth Insights publishes practical analysis on strategy, projects, operations, transformation and decision intelligence for professional and organisational use. About EraNorth.
